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How Scary is the Housing Affordability Index?

How Scary is the Housing Affordability Index? | Simplifying The Market

Some industry pundits are saying that the housing market may be heading for a slowdown. One of the data points they use is the falling numbers of the Housing Affordability Index, as reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Here is how NAR defines the index:

“The Housing Affordability Index measures whether or not a typical family earns enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a typical home at the national level based on the most recent price and income data.”

Basically, a value of 100 means a family earning the median income earns enough to qualify for a mortgage on a median priced home, based on the price and mortgage interest rates at the time. Anything above 100 means the family has more than enough to qualify.

The higher the index the easier it is to afford a home.

Why the concern?

The index has been declining over the last several years as home values increased. Some are concerned that too many buyers could be priced out of the market. Here is a snapshot of the index since 2009:

How Scary is the Housing Affordability Index? | Simplifying The Market

But, wait a minute…

Though the index has decreased over the last four years, we must realize that at that time there was an overabundance of housing inventory and as many as one out of three listings was a distressed property (foreclosure or short sale). All prices dropped dramatically and distressed properties sold at major discounts. Then, mortgage rates fell like a rock.

The market is recovering and values are coming back nicely. That has caused the index to fall.

However, let’s remove the crisis years and look at the current index as compared to the index from 1990 – 2008. We can see that, even though prices have increased, historically low mortgage rates have put the index in a better position than every year for the nineteen years prior to the crash.

How Scary is the Housing Affordability Index? | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

The Housing Affordability Index is in great shape and should not be seen as a challenge to the real estate market’s continued recovery.

Source: DZ

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  100. Quote:" OK, another expert has confirmed what we already know. Now what? When is any of the evidence gonna get pinned onto this illegal alien imposter? How much more do we have to wait for SOMEBODY in the POS federal government to do something? It' all up to us…the federales are co-conspirators."Exactly, all of Congress for starters are involved in the massive cover-up of the biggest fraud/charade in history, some more than others. They refuse to act to investigate….or impeach, Obama/Soetoro for one primary reason…TO PROTECT THEIR OWN SORRY BUTTS!!!

  101. Hi Kate… Yup. Thật ngạc nhiên về những ngày mà sá»± kỳ diệu được làm việc, nhÆ°ng khi nó không được Ä‘iều trị nhÆ° crap giống nhÆ° tất cả mọi người khác. :p

  102. Love how both frocks are a bit frilly – I had a rare pink'n'girly phase when I volunteered to have a dress like the 2nd one for my 8th birthday party (I secretly still hanker after it, a bit). They both look amazing on you – and Jon's decreed that you must now be drip-dry for carboots!!! – but I'm with you on being easy to spot in the aisles. That packaging on your new iron is gorgeous – you are brave with these old electricals.

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  122. My son gets to watch a maximum of 1 hour of television on week days, but most days we’re so busy it’s none at all. That might climb to 2 hours a day on weekends if we sit down and watch a movie. Video games are limited to two hours a week. Televisions and game systems are in common areas of the house, so it’s pretty easy to police.

  123. Untrue, I am college educated, married and a homeowner and I think Obama is doing great with what he has to work with. He was elected when our country was at its worse and it took more than 4 years to get it in the condition it was in and it will take longer than 4 years to get it back on track.

  124. Roland Griffiths, professor of psychiatry and neuroscience at Johns Hopkins, who published the findings with his colleague, Laura Juliano, who teaches at American University.Griffiths stressed that coffee is not the only culprit. He said soft drinks and other products containing caffeine can produce withdrawal symptoms, including fatigue and irritability.

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  126. Ross. OMG! – Its always SUNNY. In other words it illuminates. And how would you describe people who illuminate? Illuminati! Dear God, it all makes sense now. Scratch Texas, we need to head to Paddy’s Pub in Philly. The Master must have been sending us a secret message through the gang’s hijinks. We were blind not to see it.Donkey Badger is on the move and the beavers have defeated the trees. I just pray to God its not too late…

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  128. “Hi ha molta gent que s’ enorgulleix de treballar 12 o 14 hores i es creu milhomes, robant el treball a altres persones que ho necessiten.”Esto me parece simplista. Yo muchos días trabajo más de 8 horas (qué remedio), pero en mi caso dudo mucho que haya muchas personas con las que pudiera “repartir” una labor ultraespecializada. No creo que la justicia social tenga nada que ver con que todos nos dediquemos a trabajar en lo mismo 7 horas al día, sinceramente.Vota el comentario: 3  0

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  139. How to Take a Screenshot in Mac OS X…There are numerous Keyboard shortcuts and combinations for taking screenshots in MAC OS X. If you want to take a screenshot in MAC OS X, you should try one of the following methods….

  140. Sorry to hear about the Blog Fodder. I don't remember if I ever went to his blog but I always liked his comments over here.I too will stop blogging when they pry my keyboard from my cold dead child; or something.

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  142. The downside: overkill-analytics often leads to overfit-analytics. As Carter himself points out: “as long as you account for the effects of overprocessing data”.The more computation power you throw at the problem the more likely it is that your model happens (by chance) to work well … even measures like cross fold validation will not prevent this overfitting. Not saying that it doesn’t work as an approach (it’s my favorite approach too) but that you should at least put some thought into the problem before you throw massive computational power at it.

  143. Una cosa es exponer tus opiniones tan válidas como las de cualquier otro, sean o no acertadas y, en tu caso, nunca argumentadas y otra cosa es ser un pesado con la intención de molestar por que no comulgamos con Alonso.Llegados a este punto nada mas que decirte por mi parte, seguiré los consejos de Suz de ignorarte, siento si te han molestado mis calificaciones pero es que no encontraba otras para describirte.Como diría su Majestad no volvede a hacedlo Que seas feliz!!!

  144. 4 | cfcHave not seen the match but as I understood before, the main problem is not the zonal marking as a whole, but the fact that sometimes parts of man-to-man marking are incorporated to zonal marking as a consequence of some exceptional headers in the enemy’s team. And as I can see, this could be a real problem as nobody knows what to do in the situation. I would normally say “OK, it will come good eventually”, but now it is quite necessary to solve it right now. OK, Scolari maybe has got other priorities, but without being able to defend set pieces you will not be able to do anything in the PL.Reply

  145. La Bodega Flamenca can get very crowded and smokey, a young crowd when I was there.I’m not the biggest tapas expert — I quite liked the tapas place L’Estrella de Xaimar in Sitges a few weeks ago — but my friend there told me after she read my post that it is her least favorite place. Then again, I only had anchovies and potato salad to fill up ahead of a party. Hard to screw those up.

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  147. I still have yet to see ANY "news articles" on the number of terrorist casualties in the Benghazi attack. Are we supposed to believe that, in a 4.5-hour battle with RPGs, mortars, automatic weapons, and two Navy SEALS, that the only casualties were the four Americans ??

  148. > Zolurne:il est vrai que la Belgique — suite à une recommandation de la Commission ou du parlement européen, je ne sais plus, mais de toute évidence appuyée par le lobby vétérinaire français — a décidé de faire une sélection à l’entrée de sa faculté vétérinaire. Elle a donc installé un numerus clausus de fait.Et ce n’est pas le moindre des paradoxes du rapport de ce monsieur Attali que de demander maintenant aux Ecoles vétérinaires françaises ce que l’on a exigé des belges de s’abstenir de faire!Où est la cohérence dans tout cela ?

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  152. Me parece que estudiar una carrera es una de las mejores cosas que hacer cuando alcanzas cierta edad. La formación nunca termina y es importante mantener la mente activa. Admiro a esas personas que ya jubiladas se atreven a cumplir un sueño al que antes probablemente no tuvieron la oportunidad de acceder.

  153. September 3rd, 2007 at 8:36 pmJoan Hamburg was on WOR Friday AM, hawking and spinning Asbury Park like it was the Hamptons. The Esperanza guy and a couple of other local bigs were there, pumping like mad.Like what Asbury Park needs is a bunch of overpriced condos and goofy restaurants that sell rancid tuna tartare and $12 blue martinis. Friggin’ Soho at the shore. Yeah, we need another Soho. Let’s go to Abercrombie.Pathetic.

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  163. This is an April Fool's joke, right? I can't believe even Obama has such poor taste in art. Sure, animation is an art form, but putting a movie still in a gold frame removes it from its context and ultimately, from its medium. It's really not any different than framing a movie still of Braveheart and calling it art.

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  172. On peut continuer la série:Vos triplés ont 4 ans pour quelques semaines encore: 4*3=12Bon anniversaire à vous.12 cadeaux, c'est un minimum pour une super maman…

  173. "That's nothing compared to the Statistical Abstract, which they're shutting down entirely."What percent of workers in on that project are NAM's vs. white male nerds? Cutting costs there is a no brainer. They kick those guys out of government because they will find employment elsewhere, pay taxes, so the gov't can hire more NAM's.

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  180. Très jolie ambiance de rue sous la neige la nuit. d’ailleurs ne dit on pas “c’est beau un ville la nuit… sous la neige” ? j’en rajoute un peu.C’est surtout que tu dessines ça très bien.Bravo, bravo!

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  183. We held the third Chicago Food Swap last weekend at the Savory Spice Shop in Hinsdale and it was our biggest swap yet. Word is spreading about how fun it is to swap, and we actually had to have a wait list for this event. Some people drove over an hour to attend and went home happy, their cars filled with fun jams, baked goods, and even heirloom plants! I brought some homemade fudge sauce as well as individual challah loaves.

  184. 42 days detention without trial was defeated in the Lords (=Senate, but not elected) not the commons (=House of Reps).The progressive left is certainly alienated by Labour, in addition to a ‘plague on both of your houses’ across the country. We’re expecting a big Green vote in Hackney (epicentre of the progressive left) today!

  185. non te la prendere… IO parlo sempre male di windoze… ma è solo per esperienza, mica per sentito dire! :-)Siamo qua per chiacchierare e magari imparare qualcosa, mica per incazzarci, ok?A proposito: non sei entrato nel merito. A parte la storia antica, Linux e MacOSX hanno l’autorun? A ma non risulta, ma mica le so tutte. In effetti mi sarebbe comodo per lavoro avere un autorun sotto MacOSX (quello di adesso, beninteso); se sai dirmi come fare mi faresti un favore.ciao ciao

  186. Yeah! I say, (Really dramatic drum roll) “If they have Webkinz Road Trip, they should come either come to every state, Your Friend, sugar=awesome.

  187. You know the sad thing is … I think he is going to get off. If all they have is that statement, I don’t think that is going to be enough to convict him. (Beyond a reasonable doubt) that is . . . He is definitely a character to watch . . . The SNL skit was hilarious with him and Maddow

  188. Son unos estafadores,alquilo el coche, la reserva dice a pagar 27€ por día 2 días 54€. me dice que como no tengo tarjeta de crédito me cobraran un seguro pero cuando lo devuelva si esta todo bien me devuelven todo el dinero. me sacaron 135€ por dos días de alquiler. LADRONES TENER CUIDADO!

  189. Your recipe for Elderflower Champagne specifies 4.8 litres of COLD WATER, yet the preliminary write up states:”(and, of course, you don’t need to add water)”This would appear to be a rather contradictory statement???

  190. ….out of 5 starsI bought nioxin cleanser system 2 and the therapy treatment conditioner by reading the reviews. My husband and i have used the item for 7 months with no result at all; instead we lost hair more noticeably than before.I will not recommend these products to any one.we just wasted our money and hair:( so, please do not by this product if you want to save your hair.

  191. Sometimes I contemplate if folks truly take time to publish something original, or are they only just dishing out words to fill a site. This surely doesn’t fit that mold. Thank you for taking the time to write with awareness. At times I look at a page and question whether they even proofread it.Fantastic work with this article.

  192. Really cool shot, Adam. I really like these street shots and most of the performers in most cities give a great performance. This is a creative capture, nice mix of motion around the subject.Jimi Jones recently posted..

  193. Du verkar närmast fixerad vid Juholt och sossarna, Staffan.I första hand borde du nog bekymra dig om den egna klubben för inbördes beundran. Ni verkar inte ha så mycket att bli euforiska över just nu.

  194. Heel leuk allemaal Vera, het is je van harte gegund maaar please ik wil outfits zien:’(.Vooral met die helderblauwe blazer van je vorige shoplog!!Zo, dat is eruit. En nu ga ik de video bekijken 😛

  195. I believe that avoiding ready-made foods would be the first step for you to lose weight. They might taste great, but highly processed foods include very little nutritional value, making you feed on more just to have enough vitality to get through the day. If you’re constantly ingesting these foods, changing to whole grains and other complex carbohydrates will let you have more power while taking in less. Good blog post.

  196. Thanks. I am too lazy to cut the pastry into a circle… hence the blanket shape. lol!!@ Ninette: Thanks. It's spring here in Sydney. Beautiful natural sunlight. I like it too!!@ Elin: Thanks. You are most welcome.@ Jackie: Thanks. This is my favourite beef pot pie recipe. I have a different recipe for chicken. I love your curried tofu pot pie! Never thought about using tofu. Great idea!

  197. I can so relate to this! Although the word that was stolen from me was so successfully stolen that I can't recall what it was…Slightly off the track: when I was little, I was forever confused about fiction and non-fiction. My little literal brain could only get my head around 'true' and 'not-true', so I was forever getting them mixed up.Katherine

  198. some of us will play with it for eternity if we don’t want God Jesus..I am on the list too,but i steel hope for a miracle..I am serious.. hell is really something like that, even much ,much worse.. How do i know that? Tipe “don’t go to hell “and see the first video!

  199. Adriana Contreras May 7, 2012 I absolutely LOVE reading your blog. I read it everyday. Lol. I knew I just HAD to post on this particular entry though, because I like to think of myself as a self proclaimed foodie as well. I love Richard, but SAM has always been my favorite in all of Top Chef history!! Haha.As for the food at Flip Burger, I would have definitely gone with the Shrimp Burger, too!!

  200. Per contro, ho visto molte zanzare (ma MOLTE, visto che ho abitato a lungo a Pavia) passare indenni attraverso una ragnatela pur avendola toccata.Beh, per forza; se stavi lì tu ad osservare, il ragno di certo non se ne saltava fuori. I ragni sono come i gatti, capiscono subito se gli vuoi bene.

  201. OUI j’ai reçu votre mail, passionnant et ahurissant, bien sur je garde le document pour moi… merci de votre confiance… et je suis dans la paix pour samedi 15… à 13 heures…

  202. Haganselo saber… y no solo a los ninos. A sus mayores, a sus hermanos.. a todo aquel que tenga un lugar en la vida de cada quien. Pero sobretodo a los ninos.Tres besos. Uno para cada uno!TQM

  203. I lived in England for three years, and I have one observation: In the U.S., if I were walking down a street and saw a group of young black men coming down the sidewalk toward me, I would be inclined to cross the street. In England, I would be more likely to do so if the young men were white.

  204. C’est ben beau l’personnage du gars blasé mais ton constat affirmer que ton opinion c’est des faits…Y’a une marge…Je connais plusieurs couple qui sont TRÈS BIEN ensemble qui ne sont pas du monde qui s’endurent ou qui sont ensemble par dépit…

  205. I’m really impressed with your writing skills as well as with the layout
    on your weblog. Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself?
    Anyway keep up the excellent quality writing, it’s rare to see a great blog like this one nowadays.

  206. Hi Catherine, I was looking at the Halpin family crest on the Internet and stumbled across your company and bio. The company looks very interesting. I am a Biz Dev Mgr. for Intel’s Smartphone Chipset division. I live in Scottsdale AZ. Most of the Hapin relatives I am aware of can be traced back to the Up State New York.Greetings, Mike

  207. Magnificent beat ! I wish to apprentice at the same time as you amend your web site, how can i subscribe
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  208. Thank you for your comment. Governments come and governments go, but we found our fellow Canadians to be kind and decent people. We pray that Somalia will find the peace that has eluded her for more than two decades. We hope to welcome you there and extend to you the same compassion that we received.

  209. This story was so beautifully told, that am certain I will be rereading it for years to come! The author excels at capturing your imagination by creating a world where everything is possible and everyday things can be magical! I have never read another book quite like it; it is uniquely wonderful!

  210. Chers correcteurs,je réalise que mon commentaire du 30 juillet, qui commettait la faute de critiquer en souriant l’amalgame amené par la vidéo choisie pour illustrer votre billet, ait été censuré dans la plus belle tradition des « horteudafés » de la pensée unique. Cette suppression est décevante de votre part. Je lis en effet toujours ce blog avec plaisir mais dorénavant je le ferai sans illusions sur l’honnêteté intellectuelle des échanges qui s’y produisent. Fallait-il que je sois naïf!!Bien à vous

  211. Lovely card Vixx,You have chosen a sketch I did too, it was nice to do wasn't it? Your card is lovley.Don't fret about your son, when we went away two years ago and left Matthew on his own, he was fine. I think they are good if they know you will do your nut when you come back. You have to trust them, but lay down the law and tell him whats what and then don't worry about it. Debbiexx

  212. Today, I went to the beach front with my kids. I found a sea shell
    and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said “You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.” She
    placed the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear.
    She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is completely off topic but I had to tell